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Elections predictions & odds

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Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

97%

Keiko Fujimori

$98M Vol.

$4M today

$12M Liq.

13,631

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

88%

Xavier Becerra

$39M Vol.

$3M today

$6M Liq.

85

Ends in 5 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

15%

JD Vance

$625M Vol.

$1M today

$35M Liq.

956

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

34%

J.D. Vance

$656M Vol.

$832K today

$46M Liq.

421

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

28%

Jordan Bardella

$97M Vol.

$798K today

$10M Liq.

552

Ends in 11 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

23%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$793K today

$66M Liq.

766

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

86%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$1M Vol.

$731K today

$497K Liq.

22

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Elections·US Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

61%

Karen Bass

$11M Vol.

$320K today

$4M Liq.

134

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

39%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$15M Vol.

$266K today

$1M Liq.

309

Ends in 7 months

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

84%

Andy Burnham

$3M Vol.

$202K today

$1M Liq.

48

Ends in 6 days

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

88%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$36M Vol.

$152K today

$4M Liq.

765

Ends in 10 days

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$111K today

$329K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

56%

United Russia (ER)

$11M Vol.

$100K today

$752K Liq.

209

Ends in 3 months

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Elections·Peru Election

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

96%

Fujimori 0–4%

$1M Vol.

$258K Liq.

25

Maine Senate Election Winner
Elections·US Election

Maine Senate Election Winner

67%

Democrat

$484K Vol.

$169K Liq.

19

Ends in 5 months

Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

25%

Alexandru Nazare

$2M Vol.

$578K Liq.

156

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$8M Vol.

$898K Liq.

214

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

56%

de la Espriella 5-10%

$104K Vol.

$140K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

19%

Democrats 8-10%

$62.9K Vol.

$403K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Elections·US Election

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$346K Liq.

69

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Peru Presidential Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.