The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 19.3% implied probability, buoyed by recent UMass Lowell polling showing him ahead of Gavin Newsom 33%-30% in a head-to-head matchup and his high-profile diplomatic wins, including Iran ceasefire negotiations and India-Pakistan peace efforts. California Governor Newsom trails closely at 17.4%, benefiting from his role as a leading Democratic critic of the Trump administration amid an open primary field, while Sen. Marco Rubio sits third at 10.8% following visibility as Secretary of State. The tight race reflects early-stage shadow primaries, with no formal campaigns yet; 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising momentum like Vance's donor meetings, and potential endorsements could widen gaps before 2027 primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 19.3% implied probability, buoyed by recent UMass Lowell polling showing him ahead of Gavin Newsom 33%-30% in a head-to-head matchup and his high-profile diplomatic wins, including Iran ceasefire negotiations and India-Pakistan peace efforts. California Governor Newsom trails closely at 17.4%, benefiting from his role as a leading Democratic critic of the Trump administration amid an open primary field, while Sen. Marco Rubio sits third at 10.8% following visibility as Secretary of State. The tight race reflects early-stage shadow primaries, with no formal campaigns yet; 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising momentum like Vance's donor meetings, and potential endorsements could widen gaps before 2027 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 28 2026
The Guardian published a commentary suggesting Carlson is “the most likely GOP nominee for president in 2028,” reigniting speculation about his candidacy
Tucker Carlson rises to 3%1%
The Guardian published a commentary suggesting Carlson is “the most likely GOP nominee for president in 2028,” reigniting speculation about his candidacy
Apr 24 2026
White House insiders increasingly view Rubio as a serious 2028 contender amid MAGA base acceptance
Marco Rubio dips to 11%3%
Despite some internal White House tensions, Rubio’s growing acceptance by Trump’s inner circle and MAGA supporters solidified his position as a leading 2028 candidate, though some market correction followed after the March peak.
Apr 22 2026
Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel
Gavin Newsom rises to 18%2%
Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel
Apr 10 2026
Kamala Harris publicly signals she is "thinking about" running for president again at the National Action Network convention, receiving strong support and standing ovations
Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%
This explicit and widely reported hint at a 2028 bid marked a significant positive market reaction, reflecting renewed investor confidence in her candidacy.
Apr 6 2026
The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 6%1%
The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a serious contender
Apr 1 2026
Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to
JD Vance rises to 19%1%
Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to evangelical voters
Mar 13 2026
Rubio’s role in Iran war and Trump’s informal polling of GOP donors boost his 2028 odds sharply
Marco Rubio jumps to 14%6%
Rubio’s prominent role in the Iran conflict and Trump’s polling of GOP donors at Mar-a-Lago, who overwhelmingly supported Rubio, caused a significant.
Mar 6 2026
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment
Tucker Carlson rises to 2%1%
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment
Feb 23 2026
Rubio’s strong foreign policy role and Munich speech boost his 2028 prospects
Marco Rubio rises to 10%2%
Rubio’s successful speech in Munich and his handling of U.S.-Israeli air strikes on Iran elevated his stature as a serious 2028 contender, especially among GOP donors and Trump allies.
Feb 3 2026
Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest
Gavin Newsom rises to 19%2%
Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest
Jan 18 2026
The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities
JD Vance dips to 28%3%
The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities and influence within the GOP
Jan 10 2026
Rubio gains prominence after Trump hands him key role in Venezuela policy
Following Trump's delegation of Venezuela transition oversight to Rubio, his foreign policy profile rose, increasing speculation about a 2028 run despite his earlier hesitations.
Jan 6 2026
Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises
Gavin Newsom rises to 19%1%
Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises
Dec 28 2025
Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a
JD Vance rises to 31%1%
Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a presidential run
Dec 19 2025
Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms
JD Vance rises to 31%3%
Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms
Dec 14 2025
Reports emerge that Harris is actively laying groundwork for a 2028 White House run, including meeting donors and promoting her memoir "107 Days"
Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%
Media coverage of her political activity and campaign preparations contributed to a modest
Dec 8 2025
A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 8%1%
A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence
Nov 17 2025
Ted Cruz publicly attacked Tucker Carlson over his opposition to the U.S.
Tucker Carlson plunges to 1%49%
missile strike on Iran, calling Carlson “bat‑crap crazy” on foreign policy
Nov 17 2025
Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%2%
Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in presidential primaries
Nov 7 2025
Rubio privately tells confidants that JD Vance is the 2028 frontrunner and pledges support if Vance runs
Rubio publicly and privately acknowledged Vance as the likely Republican nominee for 2028, signaling no immediate challenge and likely stabilizing his market.
Oct 25 2025
Kamala Harris tells BBC she "possibly" could run for president again, stating "I am not done" and expressing confidence in a future female president
Kamala Harris rises to 3%1%
Her first UK interview gave the strongest indication yet of a potential 2028 run, raising market interest after a period of low
Sep 19 2025
Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez and her team are positioning her to run for president or U.S.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%
Senate in 2028, highlighting her extensive digital advertising and grassroots fundraising efforts that expanded her donor base significantly
Jul 30 2025
Kamala Harris announces she will not run for California governor in 2026, leaving the door open for a 2028 presidential bid
Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%
This decision ended speculation about a gubernatorial run and suggested she might focus on a future presidential campaign, slightly boosting market confidence.
Jul 17 2025
Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas
Gavin Newsom jumps to 19%5%
Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas
Jul 15 2025
JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP
JD Vance jumps to 28%9%
JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP voters
Jun 30 2025
Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his
Gavin Newsom rises to 14%4%
Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his political profile
Apr 25 2025
Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap
Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 19.3% implied probability, buoyed by recent UMass Lowell polling showing him ahead of Gavin Newsom 33%-30% in a head-to-head matchup and his high-profile diplomatic wins, including Iran ceasefire negotiations and India-Pakistan peace efforts. California Governor Newsom trails closely at 17.4%, benefiting from his role as a leading Democratic critic of the Trump administration amid an open primary field, while Sen. Marco Rubio sits third at 10.8% following visibility as Secretary of State. The tight race reflects early-stage shadow primaries, with no formal campaigns yet; 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising momentum like Vance's donor meetings, and potential endorsements could widen gaps before 2027 primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 19.3% implied probability, buoyed by recent UMass Lowell polling showing him ahead of Gavin Newsom 33%-30% in a head-to-head matchup and his high-profile diplomatic wins, including Iran ceasefire negotiations and India-Pakistan peace efforts. California Governor Newsom trails closely at 17.4%, benefiting from his role as a leading Democratic critic of the Trump administration amid an open primary field, while Sen. Marco Rubio sits third at 10.8% following visibility as Secretary of State. The tight race reflects early-stage shadow primaries, with no formal campaigns yet; 2026 midterm outcomes, fundraising momentum like Vance's donor meetings, and potential endorsements could widen gaps before 2027 primaries.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Apr 28 2026
The Guardian published a commentary suggesting Carlson is “the most likely GOP nominee for president in 2028,” reigniting speculation about his candidacy
Tucker Carlson rises to 3%1%
The Guardian published a commentary suggesting Carlson is “the most likely GOP nominee for president in 2028,” reigniting speculation about his candidacy
Apr 24 2026
White House insiders increasingly view Rubio as a serious 2028 contender amid MAGA base acceptance
Marco Rubio dips to 11%3%
Despite some internal White House tensions, Rubio’s growing acceptance by Trump’s inner circle and MAGA supporters solidified his position as a leading 2028 candidate, though some market correction followed after the March peak.
Apr 22 2026
Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel
Gavin Newsom rises to 18%2%
Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel
Apr 10 2026
Kamala Harris publicly signals she is "thinking about" running for president again at the National Action Network convention, receiving strong support and standing ovations
Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%
This explicit and widely reported hint at a 2028 bid marked a significant positive market reaction, reflecting renewed investor confidence in her candidacy.
Apr 6 2026
The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 6%1%
The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a serious contender
Apr 1 2026
Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to
JD Vance rises to 19%1%
Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to evangelical voters
Mar 13 2026
Rubio’s role in Iran war and Trump’s informal polling of GOP donors boost his 2028 odds sharply
Marco Rubio jumps to 14%6%
Rubio’s prominent role in the Iran conflict and Trump’s polling of GOP donors at Mar-a-Lago, who overwhelmingly supported Rubio, caused a significant.
Mar 6 2026
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment
Tucker Carlson rises to 2%1%
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment
Feb 23 2026
Rubio’s strong foreign policy role and Munich speech boost his 2028 prospects
Marco Rubio rises to 10%2%
Rubio’s successful speech in Munich and his handling of U.S.-Israeli air strikes on Iran elevated his stature as a serious 2028 contender, especially among GOP donors and Trump allies.
Feb 3 2026
Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest
Gavin Newsom rises to 19%2%
Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest
Jan 18 2026
The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities
JD Vance dips to 28%3%
The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities and influence within the GOP
Jan 10 2026
Rubio gains prominence after Trump hands him key role in Venezuela policy
Following Trump's delegation of Venezuela transition oversight to Rubio, his foreign policy profile rose, increasing speculation about a 2028 run despite his earlier hesitations.
Jan 6 2026
Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises
Gavin Newsom rises to 19%1%
Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises
Dec 28 2025
Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a
JD Vance rises to 31%1%
Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a presidential run
Dec 19 2025
Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms
JD Vance rises to 31%3%
Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms
Dec 14 2025
Reports emerge that Harris is actively laying groundwork for a 2028 White House run, including meeting donors and promoting her memoir "107 Days"
Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%
Media coverage of her political activity and campaign preparations contributed to a modest
Dec 8 2025
A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 8%1%
A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence
Nov 17 2025
Ted Cruz publicly attacked Tucker Carlson over his opposition to the U.S.
Tucker Carlson plunges to 1%49%
missile strike on Iran, calling Carlson “bat‑crap crazy” on foreign policy
Nov 17 2025
Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%2%
Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in presidential primaries
Nov 7 2025
Rubio privately tells confidants that JD Vance is the 2028 frontrunner and pledges support if Vance runs
Rubio publicly and privately acknowledged Vance as the likely Republican nominee for 2028, signaling no immediate challenge and likely stabilizing his market.
Oct 25 2025
Kamala Harris tells BBC she "possibly" could run for president again, stating "I am not done" and expressing confidence in a future female president
Kamala Harris rises to 3%1%
Her first UK interview gave the strongest indication yet of a potential 2028 run, raising market interest after a period of low
Sep 19 2025
Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez and her team are positioning her to run for president or U.S.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%
Senate in 2028, highlighting her extensive digital advertising and grassroots fundraising efforts that expanded her donor base significantly
Jul 30 2025
Kamala Harris announces she will not run for California governor in 2026, leaving the door open for a 2028 presidential bid
Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%
This decision ended speculation about a gubernatorial run and suggested she might focus on a future presidential campaign, slightly boosting market confidence.
Jul 17 2025
Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas
Gavin Newsom jumps to 19%5%
Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas
Jul 15 2025
JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP
JD Vance jumps to 28%9%
JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP voters
Jun 30 2025
Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his
Gavin Newsom rises to 14%4%
Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his political profile
Apr 25 2025
Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap
Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap
Related
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Presidential Election Winner 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 19%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Presidential Election Winner 2028" has generated $561.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" is "JD Vance" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Presidential Election Winner 2028." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $561.4 million traded on “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 19¢ for "JD Vance" in the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 19% chance that "JD Vance" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 19¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 81¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.
The "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market has an active community of 873 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Presidential Election Winner 2028." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions