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Politics·Brazil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

icon for Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello 76%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 12%

João Rodrigues 5%

Décio Lima 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Jorginho Mello 76%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 12%

João Rodrigues 5%

Décio Lima 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Jorginho Mello

$323 Vol.

67%

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$645 Vol.

12%

João Rodrigues

$184 Vol.

5%

Décio Lima

$195 Vol.

5%

Gelson Merisio

$256 Vol.

3%

Adriano Silva

$196 Vol.

2%

Marcos Vieira

$195 Vol.

16%

Afrânio Boppré

$195 Vol.

6%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a dominant position in the race, reflected in the market's 76.5% consensus. Multiple May 2026 polls, including Neokemp (54.2%), Veritá (up to 63.6%), and others, show him well ahead of declared rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD/MDB, ~15-18%), Gelson Merisio (PSB), Marcelo Brigadeiro, Décio Lima (PT), and Adriano Silva (Novo), who is positioned as Mello's vice-governor candidate rather than a direct challenger. His lead stems from incumbency advantages, alignment with the state's right-leaning electorate, consistent first-round majorities above 50% in surveys, and recent party consolidations including PSDB support. Lower-priced candidates face structural barriers in a contest where voter intentions have remained stable in the first half of 2026, though late campaign shifts remain possible before election day.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,189
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election on October 4, 2026, holds a dominant position in the race, reflected in the market's 76.5% consensus. Multiple May 2026 polls, including Neokemp (54.2%), Veritá (up to 63.6%), and others, show him well ahead of declared rivals such as João Rodrigues (PSD/MDB, ~15-18%), Gelson Merisio (PSB), Marcelo Brigadeiro, Décio Lima (PT), and Adriano Silva (Novo), who is positioned as Mello's vice-governor candidate rather than a direct challenger. His lead stems from incumbency advantages, alignment with the state's right-leaning electorate, consistent first-round majorities above 50% in surveys, and recent party consolidations including PSDB support. Lower-priced candidates face structural barriers in a contest where voter intentions have remained stable in the first half of 2026, though late campaign shifts remain possible before election day.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$2,189
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jorginho Mello" at 67%, followed by "Marcos Vieira" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner ," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner " is "Jorginho Mello" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcos Vieira" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.