New Prediction Markets & Live Odds 2026

João Neves

87%

Nuno Mendes

87%

João Neves

87%

NEW

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

75%

chance

Yes

NEW

Weekly

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

June 30

84%

Yes84%No16%

May 31

79%

Yes79%No21%

June 30

84%

Yes84%No16%

May 31

79%

Yes79%No21%

NEW

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

May 31

83%

Yes83%No17%

June 30

82%

Yes82%No18%

May 31

83%

Yes83%No17%

June 30

82%

Yes82%No18%

NEW

FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?

93%

chance

Yes

NEW

Weekly

New Zealand Election: Turnout

76-78%

78-80%

76-78%

78-80%

NEW

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Labour 5-10%

27%

National 10%+

27%

Labour 5-10%

27%

National 10%+

27%

NEW

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

New Zealand First Party

Yes50%No50%

Labour Party

Yes80%No20%

New Zealand First Party

Yes50%No50%

Labour Party

Yes80%No20%

NEW

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

No Change

68%

Yes68%No32%

25 bps increase

35%

Yes35%No65%

No Change

68%

Yes68%No32%

25 bps increase

35%

Yes35%No65%

NEW

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

17%

chance

Yes

NEW

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

No Change

96%

Yes96%No4%

Decrease

21%

Yes21%No79%

No Change

96%

Yes96%No4%

Decrease

21%

Yes21%No79%

NEW

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

Green Party

Yes49%No51%

New Zealand First Party

47%

Green Party

Yes49%No51%

New Zealand First Party

47%

NEW

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

40-44

45-49

40-44

45-49

NEW

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Pause–Pause–Pause

47%

Cut–Cut–Pause

32%

Yes32%No68%

Pause–Pause–Pause

47%

Cut–Cut–Pause

32%

Yes32%No68%

NEW

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease

53%

Yes53%No47%

No Change

46%

Yes46%No54%

25 bps decrease

53%

Yes53%No47%

No Change

46%

Yes46%No54%

NEW

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24

43%

25-29

43%

20-24

43%

25-29

43%

NEW

James Comey in jail by June 30?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

41%

41%

41%

41%

NEW

Daily

Fed Decision in September?

No change

74%

Yes74%No26%

25 bps decrease

19%

Yes19%No81%

No change

74%

Yes74%No26%

25 bps decrease

19%

Yes19%No81%

NEW

Monthly

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

National Party

Yes48%No52%

Labour Party

27%

National Party

Yes48%No52%

Labour Party

27%