Recent polling shows Representative Mike Collins maintaining a lead over former football coach Derek Dooley ahead of the June 16 Republican runoff, though margins vary across surveys conducted since the May 19 primary. Collins captured 40.5% in the initial round compared to Dooley's 30.2%, with the contest splitting along lines of Trump-aligned support versus backing from Governor Brian Kemp. Absence of a presidential endorsement, combined with Dooley's underdog positioning and early voting underway, sustains uncertainty over the final margin. Factors such as turnout among competing Republican factions, last-minute campaign spending, and any late shifts in endorsements could widen or narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCollins <5% 45%
Collins 10–15% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 15–20% 38%
$126 Vol.
$126 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Dooley Wins
14%
Collins <5%
45%
Collins 5–10%
29%
Collins 10–15%
40%
Collins 15–20%
38%
Collins 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
37%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 10–15% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 15–20% 38%
$126 Vol.
$126 Vol.
May 25, 2026
Dooley Wins
$15 Vol.
14%
Collins <5%
$28 Vol.
45%
Collins 5–10%
$43 Vol.
29%
Collins 10–15%
$5 Vol.
40%
Collins 15–20%
$5 Vol.
38%
Collins 20–25%
$5 Vol.
39%
Collins 25%+
$25 Vol.
37%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows Representative Mike Collins maintaining a lead over former football coach Derek Dooley ahead of the June 16 Republican runoff, though margins vary across surveys conducted since the May 19 primary. Collins captured 40.5% in the initial round compared to Dooley's 30.2%, with the contest splitting along lines of Trump-aligned support versus backing from Governor Brian Kemp. Absence of a presidential endorsement, combined with Dooley's underdog positioning and early voting underway, sustains uncertainty over the final margin. Factors such as turnout among competing Republican factions, last-minute campaign spending, and any late shifts in endorsements could widen or narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volume
$126End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows Representative Mike Collins maintaining a lead over former football coach Derek Dooley ahead of the June 16 Republican runoff, though margins vary across surveys conducted since the May 19 primary. Collins captured 40.5% in the initial round compared to Dooley's 30.2%, with the contest splitting along lines of Trump-aligned support versus backing from Governor Brian Kemp. Absence of a presidential endorsement, combined with Dooley's underdog positioning and early voting underway, sustains uncertainty over the final margin. Factors such as turnout among competing Republican factions, last-minute campaign spending, and any late shifts in endorsements could widen or narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$126End Date
May 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Representative Mike Collins maintaining a lead over former football coach Derek Dooley ahead of the June 16 Republican runoff, though margins vary across surveys conducted since the May 19 primary. Collins captured 40.5% in the initial round compared to Dooley's 30.2%, with the contest splitting along lines of Trump-aligned support versus backing from Governor Brian Kemp. Absence of a presidential endorsement, combined with Dooley's underdog positioning and early voting underway, sustains uncertainty over the final margin. Factors such as turnout among competing Republican factions, last-minute campaign spending, and any late shifts in endorsements could widen or narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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