United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its entrenched organizational advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent polling leads above 40 percent. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative contender through recent survey gains, including VCIOM readings placing it second at 13 percent in April 2026 ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, supported by targeted regional expansion and leadership conventions. The LDPR and CPRF trail as established systemic options with deeper local structures but flatter recent momentum, while smaller parties face high barriers to crossing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed competition among registered parties, with no major shifts reported in the past month that would alter the core hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 61%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.3%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.2%
$11,268,655 Vol.
$11,268,655 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
61%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 61%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.3%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.2%
$11,268,655 Vol.
$11,268,655 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$4,032,837 Vol.
61%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$1,319,051 Vol.
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$2,393,204 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$760,674 Vol.
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$676,180 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$1,312,048 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$783,427 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its entrenched organizational advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent polling leads above 40 percent. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative contender through recent survey gains, including VCIOM readings placing it second at 13 percent in April 2026 ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, supported by targeted regional expansion and leadership conventions. The LDPR and CPRF trail as established systemic options with deeper local structures but flatter recent momentum, while smaller parties face high barriers to crossing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed competition among registered parties, with no major shifts reported in the past month that would alter the core hierarchy.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$11,268,655Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its entrenched organizational advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent polling leads above 40 percent. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative contender through recent survey gains, including VCIOM readings placing it second at 13 percent in April 2026 ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, supported by targeted regional expansion and leadership conventions. The LDPR and CPRF trail as established systemic options with deeper local structures but flatter recent momentum, while smaller parties face high barriers to crossing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed competition among registered parties, with no major shifts reported in the past month that would alter the core hierarchy.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$11,268,655Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for securing the largest seat total in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its entrenched organizational advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent polling leads above 40 percent. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative contender through recent survey gains, including VCIOM readings placing it second at 13 percent in April 2026 ahead of the CPRF and LDPR, supported by targeted regional expansion and leadership conventions. The LDPR and CPRF trail as established systemic options with deeper local structures but flatter recent momentum, while smaller parties face high barriers to crossing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed competition among registered parties, with no major shifts reported in the past month that would alter the core hierarchy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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