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Peru Presidential Election Winner

icon for Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 98.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1.2%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$101,766,525 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 98.3%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 1.2%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$101,766,525 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$20,139,305 Vol.

98%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$33,621,528 Vol.

1%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$14,161,703 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$13,165,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$649,994 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$254,947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$139,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$267,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$328,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,779,976 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$207,788 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$370,859 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$144,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$163,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$440,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,318,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$282,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,348,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,815,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$224,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,743,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$736,584 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori of Popular Force holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election due to her narrow but consistent edge in the June 7 runoff vote tally against Roberto Sánchez of Together for Peru. With over 98% of ballots counted, official figures show her ahead by roughly 0.05-0.1 percentage points amid strong urban and coastal support, while Sánchez leads in rural Andean regions. Persistent concerns over crime and political instability shaped first-round results and runoff preferences, favoring her conservative platform. The market reflects expectations that remaining contested ballots and the final review process will confirm her victory, consistent with patterns in prior closely contested Peruvian runoffs. Late shifts remain possible if electoral authorities sustain challenges that alter the margin or trigger extended disputes.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$101,766,525
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori of Popular Force holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Peruvian presidential election due to her narrow but consistent edge in the June 7 runoff vote tally against Roberto Sánchez of Together for Peru. With over 98% of ballots counted, official figures show her ahead by roughly 0.05-0.1 percentage points amid strong urban and coastal support, while Sánchez leads in rural Andean regions. Persistent concerns over crime and political instability shaped first-round results and runoff preferences, favoring her conservative platform. The market reflects expectations that remaining contested ballots and the final review process will confirm her victory, consistent with patterns in prior closely contested Peruvian runoffs. Late shifts remain possible if electoral authorities sustain challenges that alter the margin or trigger extended disputes.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$101,766,525
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Peru Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 98%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Peru Presidential Election Winner" has generated $101.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Peru Presidential Election Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Peru Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.