Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Keiko Fujimori at 65.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (32.1%), following official first-round results from April 12-13 confirming Fujimori's 17.1% lead over Sánchez's 12.0% amid a fragmented 34-candidate field and 71.7% turnout. Fujimori's edge stems from her Fuerza Popular party's strong urban base, name recognition from three prior campaigns, and anticipated consolidation of right-wing votes after Rafael López Aliaga's third-place fraud claims were dismissed by the National Jury of Elections on April 24. An Ipsos Peru poll on April 27 showed a 38%-38% dead heat, but traders weigh Sánchez's rural leftist strength against his limited congressional support and Juntos por el Perú's vulnerabilities in a polarized contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Presidential Election Winner
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,092,040 Vol.
$48,092,040 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.1%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.3%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,092,040 Vol.
$48,092,040 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Keiko Fujimori at 65.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (32.1%), following official first-round results from April 12-13 confirming Fujimori's 17.1% lead over Sánchez's 12.0% amid a fragmented 34-candidate field and 71.7% turnout. Fujimori's edge stems from her Fuerza Popular party's strong urban base, name recognition from three prior campaigns, and anticipated consolidation of right-wing votes after Rafael López Aliaga's third-place fraud claims were dismissed by the National Jury of Elections on April 24. An Ipsos Peru poll on April 27 showed a 38%-38% dead heat, but traders weigh Sánchez's rural leftist strength against his limited congressional support and Juntos por el Perú's vulnerabilities in a polarized contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions