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Elections predictions & odds

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Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

86%

DMK

$20M Vol.

$3M today

$326K Liq.

471

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$563M Vol.

$2M today

$23M Liq.

874

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$598M Vol.

$2M today

$17M Liq.

372

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$48M Liq.

695

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Jordan Bardella

$56M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

427

Ends in 12 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$95M Vol.

$502K today

$3M Liq.

2,109

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

87%

Chong Won-oh

$34M Vol.

$469K today

$4M Liq.

45

Ends in about 1 month

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

$8M Vol.

$466K today

$750K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Tom Steyer

$16M Vol.

$396K today

$3M Liq.

42

Ends in 6 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

62%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$383K today

$365K Liq.

154

Ends in 5 months

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

52%

BJP

$5M Vol.

$280K today

$199K Liq.

377

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

<1%

$17M Vol.

$268K today

$1M Liq.

1

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$248K today

$1M Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$206K today

$2M Liq.

398

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$49M Vol.

$163K today

$5M Liq.

4,471

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Elections·US Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

84%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$111K today

$251K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$79.9K today

$611K Liq.

193

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

4%

$4M Vol.

$288K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$477K Liq.

156

Ends in 6 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

73%

Thomas Massie

$414K Vol.

$70.8K Liq.

32

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.6B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.