Quebec’s Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 2026 general election, driven by sustained francophone support that translates efficiently under the first-past-the-post system. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in second place, drawing strength from non-francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap through gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. Traders price the PQ outcome highest at 56 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantages in key ridings, though the tightening three-way race leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or late voter movement before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQuebec General Election Winner
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$570,600 Vol.
$570,600 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
56%
PLQ
25%
CAQ
18%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 56%
PLQ 25%
CAQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$570,600 Vol.
$570,600 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$59,423 Vol.
56%
PLQ
$61,832 Vol.
25%
CAQ
$70,516 Vol.
18%
PCQ
$174,245 Vol.
<1%
QS
$74,540 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$130,127 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Quebec’s Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 2026 general election, driven by sustained francophone support that translates efficiently under the first-past-the-post system. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in second place, drawing strength from non-francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap through gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. Traders price the PQ outcome highest at 56 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantages in key ridings, though the tightening three-way race leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or late voter movement before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$570,600End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Quebec’s Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 2026 general election, driven by sustained francophone support that translates efficiently under the first-past-the-post system. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in second place, drawing strength from non-francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap through gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. Traders price the PQ outcome highest at 56 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantages in key ridings, though the tightening three-way race leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or late voter movement before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$570,600End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Quebec’s Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 2026 general election, driven by sustained francophone support that translates efficiently under the first-past-the-post system. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive in second place, drawing strength from non-francophone voters, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap through gains under new leader Christine Fréchette. Traders price the PQ outcome highest at 56 percent, reflecting the party’s structural advantages in key ridings, though the tightening three-way race leaves room for shifts from campaign developments or late voter movement before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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