Skip to main content
icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 30%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.2%

Polymarket

$53,495 Vol.

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 30%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.2%

Polymarket

$53,495 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,062 Vol.

39%

Troy Jackson

$8,126 Vol.

30%

Hannah Pingree

$4,950 Vol.

22%

Shenna Bellows

$5,290 Vol.

8%

Angus King III

$4,230 Vol.

5%

Jason Cherry

$19,316 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,521 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary tilts toward Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Troy Jackson at 30% and Hannah Pingree at 22%, reflecting a fragmented open-seat race plagued by 25% undecided primary voters. Shah's lead draws from his high name recognition as former CDC director who guided the state's COVID response, per recent profiles, while Jackson gains traction from MSEA-SEIU's top endorsement and Sierra Club support shared with Pingree and Shenna Bellows. Pingree's fundraising dominance—$1.9 million raised, nearly $900,000 cash on hand from April 28 reports—keeps her viable despite split institutional backing. The upcoming WMTW debate among top candidates could spark separation via standout performances, alongside potential late polls or party endorsements before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$53,495
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary tilts toward Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Troy Jackson at 30% and Hannah Pingree at 22%, reflecting a fragmented open-seat race plagued by 25% undecided primary voters. Shah's lead draws from his high name recognition as former CDC director who guided the state's COVID response, per recent profiles, while Jackson gains traction from MSEA-SEIU's top endorsement and Sierra Club support shared with Pingree and Shenna Bellows. Pingree's fundraising dominance—$1.9 million raised, nearly $900,000 cash on hand from April 28 reports—keeps her viable despite split institutional backing. The upcoming WMTW debate among top candidates could spark separation via standout performances, alongside potential late polls or party endorsements before early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$53,495
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

46%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

86%
icon for Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?

76%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, followed by "Troy Jackson" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $53.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Jackson" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.