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Germany predictions & odds

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

14%

$132K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Germany Squad

99%

Florian Wirtz

$56 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

40%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$109K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

22%

$44.1K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

89%

AfD

$202K Vol.

$65.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

87%

CDU

$43.6K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bundesliga: Most Assists

Bundesliga: Most Assists

64%

Michael Olise

$6.5K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

92%

AfD

$686K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$848K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Germany vs. Curaçao

Germany vs. Curaçao

94%

Germany

$2.6K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Ecuador vs. Germany

Ecuador vs. Germany

55%

Germany

$168 Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire

70%

Germany

$294 Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Germany BBL: Winner

Germany BBL: Winner

50%

Fitness First Würzburg Baskets

$107 Vol.

$57 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Germany

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

40%

$10.3K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

5%

$9.7K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin

FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin

77%

FC Bayern Munchen

$36 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

MLP Academics Heidelberg vs. Mitteldeutscher BC

MLP Academics Heidelberg vs. Mitteldeutscher BC

50%

Mitteldeutscher BC

$0 Vol.

$121 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Brose Bamberg vs. Hamburg Towers

Brose Bamberg vs. Hamburg Towers

53%

Brose Bamberg

$0 Vol.

$80 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

FC Bayern Munchen vs. SC RASTA Vechta

FC Bayern Munchen vs. SC RASTA Vechta

52%

FC Bayern Munchen

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Germany.

Polymarket currently hosts 175 active markets for Germany that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Berlin State Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Berlin State Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to CDU. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Germany predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.