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United States predictions & odds

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United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

22%

Yes

$281K Vol.

$90.3K today

$335K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

26%

Yes

$76.7K Vol.

$144K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

96%

North Carolina

$306K Vol.

$263K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

100%

July 31

$35M Vol.

$2M today

$424K Liq.

663

Ends in 15 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

86%

Switzerland

$10M Vol.

$316K today

$616K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

42%

United States

$814K Vol.

$239K today

$62.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

29%

Germany

$285K Vol.

$988K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

World Cup: Team to Concede the Most Goals (Group Stage)

61%

Curaçao

$43.3K Vol.

$128K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

99%

No meeting by June 30

$8M Vol.

$407K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

World Cup: Team to Go Unbeaten (Group Stage)

World Cup: Team to Go Unbeaten (Group Stage)

71%

Morocco

$36.5K Vol.

$70.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance

41%

Czechia

$17.6K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

51%

United States

$29.5K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

22%

Japan

$59.2K Vol.

$376K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

62%

No meeting by December 31

$56.1K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

World Cup: Team with the Most Clean Sheets

World Cup: Team with the Most Clean Sheets

18%

Argentina

$13.5K Vol.

$158K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

91%

Thank 5+ times

$1.7K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

45%

160–189

$1.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

48%

Keith Sonderling

$46.2K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

67%

South Sudan

$15.0K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

40%

<100

$489 Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United States.

Polymarket currently hosts 768 active markets for United States that lets you track or trade on predictions like “United States vs. Australia”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $54.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United States predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.