Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in recent polling ahead of the June 7 runoff, with Ipsos and Datum surveys from late May showing her ahead by three to four points amid roughly 27 percent undecided or blank ballots. This positioning, combined with her experience in prior runoffs and emphasis on security and stability, supports trader consensus around a slim margin of victory. Roberto Sánchez, who advanced after a fragmented first round where he narrowly secured second place, draws support from left-leaning voters but trails in head-to-head scenarios. The June 7 contest remains sensitive to final turnout and undecided voter shifts, consistent with the market's emphasis on outcomes under eight points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Fujimori 0–4% 51%
Fujimori 4–8% 20%
Sánchez 0–4% 18%
Fujimori 8–12% 8.4%
$201,535 Vol.
$201,535 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
4%
Fujimori 8–12%
8%
Fujimori 4–8%
20%
Fujimori 0–4%
51%
Sánchez 0–4%
18%
Sánchez 4–8%
4%
Sánchez 8–12%
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 51%
Fujimori 4–8% 20%
Sánchez 0–4% 18%
Fujimori 8–12% 8.4%
$201,535 Vol.
$201,535 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
$16,179 Vol.
4%
Fujimori 8–12%
$16,274 Vol.
8%
Fujimori 4–8%
$17,857 Vol.
20%
Fujimori 0–4%
$76,245 Vol.
51%
Sánchez 0–4%
$37,341 Vol.
18%
Sánchez 4–8%
$13,462 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 8–12%
$14,331 Vol.
<1%
Sánchez 12%+
$9,849 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in recent polling ahead of the June 7 runoff, with Ipsos and Datum surveys from late May showing her ahead by three to four points amid roughly 27 percent undecided or blank ballots. This positioning, combined with her experience in prior runoffs and emphasis on security and stability, supports trader consensus around a slim margin of victory. Roberto Sánchez, who advanced after a fragmented first round where he narrowly secured second place, draws support from left-leaning voters but trails in head-to-head scenarios. The June 7 contest remains sensitive to final turnout and undecided voter shifts, consistent with the market's emphasis on outcomes under eight points.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$201,535End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in recent polling ahead of the June 7 runoff, with Ipsos and Datum surveys from late May showing her ahead by three to four points amid roughly 27 percent undecided or blank ballots. This positioning, combined with her experience in prior runoffs and emphasis on security and stability, supports trader consensus around a slim margin of victory. Roberto Sánchez, who advanced after a fragmented first round where he narrowly secured second place, draws support from left-leaning voters but trails in head-to-head scenarios. The June 7 contest remains sensitive to final turnout and undecided voter shifts, consistent with the market's emphasis on outcomes under eight points.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$201,535End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow lead in recent polling ahead of the June 7 runoff, with Ipsos and Datum surveys from late May showing her ahead by three to four points amid roughly 27 percent undecided or blank ballots. This positioning, combined with her experience in prior runoffs and emphasis on security and stability, supports trader consensus around a slim margin of victory. Roberto Sánchez, who advanced after a fragmented first round where he narrowly secured second place, draws support from left-leaning voters but trails in head-to-head scenarios. The June 7 contest remains sensitive to final turnout and undecided voter shifts, consistent with the market's emphasis on outcomes under eight points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions