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Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Sorin Grindeanu 38%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Sebastian Burduja 6.3%

George Simion 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$91,492 Vol.

Sorin Grindeanu 38%

Cătălin Predoiu 7%

Sebastian Burduja 6.3%

George Simion 3.7%

Polymarket
NEW

$91,492 Vol.

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$12,462 Vol.

38%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$10,277 Vol.

7%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$2,426 Vol.

6%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$4,094 Vol.

4%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$6,396 Vol.

3%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$1,190 Vol.

2%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$1,245 Vol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$1,461 Vol.

2%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$3,344 Vol.

2%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$1,322 Vol.

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$1,063 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$1,053 Vol.

1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$3,108 Vol.

1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$3,925 Vol.

1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$2,479 Vol.

1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$4,075 Vol.

1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$1,203 Vol.

1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$996 Vol.

1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$1,126 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$2,539 Vol.

1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$19,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$6,381 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-EU government under Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan collapsed on May 5, 2026, after a no-confidence vote backed by the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), ending the fragile grand coalition formed in 2025. PSD leader Sorin Grindeanu now leads trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability, reflecting his party's parliamentary plurality and post-vote signals of pursuing a reformed coalition to secure reforms for EU funds. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu trails closely at 15%, buoyed by his prior interim role and potential as a compromise in renewed PSD-PNL talks. The race remains tight amid fragmented parliament, with President Nicușor Dan's imminent nominee selection and confidence vote pivotal; failure twice could trigger snap elections by late 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,492
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-EU government under Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan collapsed on May 5, 2026, after a no-confidence vote backed by the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), ending the fragile grand coalition formed in 2025. PSD leader Sorin Grindeanu now leads trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability, reflecting his party's parliamentary plurality and post-vote signals of pursuing a reformed coalition to secure reforms for EU funds. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu trails closely at 15%, buoyed by his prior interim role and potential as a compromise in renewed PSD-PNL talks. The race remains tight amid fragmented parliament, with President Nicușor Dan's imminent nominee selection and confidence vote pivotal; failure twice could trigger snap elections by late 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,492
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sorin Grindeanu" at 38%, followed by "Cătălin Predoiu" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $91.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Sorin Grindeanu" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cătălin Predoiu" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.