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Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará

icon for Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará

Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará

Hana Ghassan 52%

Dr. Daniel Santos 37%

Éder Mauro 8%

Dirceu Ten Caten 7.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hana Ghassan 52%

Dr. Daniel Santos 37%

Éder Mauro 8%

Dirceu Ten Caten 7.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Hana Ghassan

$207 Vol.

52%

Dr. Daniel Santos

$286 Vol.

37%

Éder Mauro

$237 Vol.

8%

Dirceu Ten Caten

$257 Vol.

7%

Paulo Rocha

$277 Vol.

6%

Zequinha Marinho

$247 Vol.

3%

Rogério Barra

$257 Vol.

3%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), who assumed the Pará governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a closely contested race. Recent April–May polls from institutes including Quaest, Doxa, and Veritá show her statistically tied with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with both in the low-to-mid 20s percent range and high undecided shares often exceeding 30 percent. Barbalho’s strong approval ratings and endorsement provide Ghassan institutional continuity and MDB machinery support, while opposition remains fragmented, with Éder Mauro (PL) consolidating some conservative support but trailing overall. The elevated level of voter indecision and limited name recognition for several listed contenders sustain the tight market positioning ahead of the October first-round vote.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,767
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), who assumed the Pará governorship in April 2026 following Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing amid a closely contested race. Recent April–May polls from institutes including Quaest, Doxa, and Veritá show her statistically tied with Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos), with both in the low-to-mid 20s percent range and high undecided shares often exceeding 30 percent. Barbalho’s strong approval ratings and endorsement provide Ghassan institutional continuity and MDB machinery support, while opposition remains fragmented, with Éder Mauro (PL) consolidating some conservative support but trailing overall. The elevated level of voter indecision and limited name recognition for several listed contenders sustain the tight market positioning ahead of the October first-round vote.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,767
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Hana Ghassan" con 52%, seguido de "Dr. Daniel Santos" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará" es "Hana Ghassan" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dr. Daniel Santos" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.