Trump faces low odds of removal before 2027 due to structural barriers in the Constitution and congressional arithmetic. Impeachment requires a House majority and two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds rarely met without bipartisan consensus that remains absent amid Republican control of both chambers. Recent developments through mid-2026 show no active impeachment proceedings, successful 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from the administration. Polling aggregates and primary election results reflect sustained support within the president's party, while scheduled events like the 2026 midterms have not yet produced shifts capable of altering removal dynamics. Traders price the outcome at 90 percent No based on these institutional and electoral realities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
Sí
$9,029,026 Vol.
$9,029,026 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$9,029,026 Vol.
$9,029,026 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump faces low odds of removal before 2027 due to structural barriers in the Constitution and congressional arithmetic. Impeachment requires a House majority and two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds rarely met without bipartisan consensus that remains absent amid Republican control of both chambers. Recent developments through mid-2026 show no active impeachment proceedings, successful 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from the administration. Polling aggregates and primary election results reflect sustained support within the president's party, while scheduled events like the 2026 midterms have not yet produced shifts capable of altering removal dynamics. Traders price the outcome at 90 percent No based on these institutional and electoral realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$9,029,026Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump faces low odds of removal before 2027 due to structural barriers in the Constitution and congressional arithmetic. Impeachment requires a House majority and two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds rarely met without bipartisan consensus that remains absent amid Republican control of both chambers. Recent developments through mid-2026 show no active impeachment proceedings, successful 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from the administration. Polling aggregates and primary election results reflect sustained support within the president's party, while scheduled events like the 2026 midterms have not yet produced shifts capable of altering removal dynamics. Traders price the outcome at 90 percent No based on these institutional and electoral realities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,029,036Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump faces low odds of removal before 2027 due to structural barriers in the Constitution and congressional arithmetic. Impeachment requires a House majority and two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds rarely met without bipartisan consensus that remains absent amid Republican control of both chambers. Recent developments through mid-2026 show no active impeachment proceedings, successful 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals from the administration. Polling aggregates and primary election results reflect sustained support within the president's party, while scheduled events like the 2026 midterms have not yet produced shifts capable of altering removal dynamics. Traders price the outcome at 90 percent No based on these institutional and electoral realities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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