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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$48M Liq.

695

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$562M Vol.

$2M today

$23M Liq.

874

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$597M Vol.

$2M today

$18M Liq.

372

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Tom Steyer

$16M Vol.

$293K today

$3M Liq.

42

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

84%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$76.6K today

$243K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$477K Liq.

155

Ends in 6 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

100%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

58%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$157K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$163K Liq.

6

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$220K Liq.

36

Ends in 6 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

56%

Nithya Raman

$970K Vol.

$154K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

96%

Pass 3-6%

$545K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

63

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

37%

Tom Begich

$950K Vol.

$182K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

58%

Talarico & Paxton

$707K Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

3

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

49%

Abdul El-Sayed

$513K Vol.

$91.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$77.3K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

83%

Democrat

$26.9K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner

81%

Jasmine Clark

$20.0K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Georgia Governor Election Winner

63%

Democrat

$34.9K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

55%

Republican

$195K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.