Trump remains in office amid routine executive actions and legislative signings as of mid-June 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or Cabinet-level moves under the 25th Amendment advancing in Congress. Removal would require either House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Vice President and Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment with congressional concurrence—processes that historically span weeks or months even in polarized environments. Earlier 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related tensions produced no sustained bipartisan momentum or procedural traction. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and the absence of sudden catalysts within the narrow remaining window. Low-probability developments that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen health event, rapid resignation announcement, or unforeseen legal development forcing immediate departure before June 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$7,339,162 Vol.
$7,339,162 Vol.
Sí
$7,339,162 Vol.
$7,339,162 Vol.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains in office amid routine executive actions and legislative signings as of mid-June 2026, with no active impeachment proceedings or Cabinet-level moves under the 25th Amendment advancing in Congress. Removal would require either House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction or Vice President and Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment with congressional concurrence—processes that historically span weeks or months even in polarized environments. Earlier 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related tensions produced no sustained bipartisan momentum or procedural traction. Trader consensus at 99.4% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and the absence of sudden catalysts within the narrow remaining window. Low-probability developments that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen health event, rapid resignation announcement, or unforeseen legal development forcing immediate departure before June 30.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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