Trump remains firmly positioned to complete his term through late June 2026, as no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment are underway. The compressed timeline to June 30 leaves insufficient opportunity for Senate conviction, cabinet action, or other removal processes to conclude, consistent with historical patterns where such steps require weeks or months. Trader consensus at 99.4% on “No” reflects this structural barrier. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting voluntary departure, or unforeseen legal ruling could still shift outcomes, though none are currently documented or positioned to resolve inside the window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7,339,162 Vol.
$7,339,162 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$7,339,162 Vol.
$7,339,162 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly positioned to complete his term through late June 2026, as no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment are underway. The compressed timeline to June 30 leaves insufficient opportunity for Senate conviction, cabinet action, or other removal processes to conclude, consistent with historical patterns where such steps require weeks or months. Trader consensus at 99.4% on “No” reflects this structural barrier. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting voluntary departure, or unforeseen legal ruling could still shift outcomes, though none are currently documented or positioned to resolve inside the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$7,339,162End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly positioned to complete his term through late June 2026, as no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment are underway. The compressed timeline to June 30 leaves insufficient opportunity for Senate conviction, cabinet action, or other removal processes to conclude, consistent with historical patterns where such steps require weeks or months. Trader consensus at 99.4% on “No” reflects this structural barrier. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting voluntary departure, or unforeseen legal ruling could still shift outcomes, though none are currently documented or positioned to resolve inside the window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,339,162End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains firmly positioned to complete his term through late June 2026, as no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment are underway. The compressed timeline to June 30 leaves insufficient opportunity for Senate conviction, cabinet action, or other removal processes to conclude, consistent with historical patterns where such steps require weeks or months. Trader consensus at 99.4% on “No” reflects this structural barrier. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting voluntary departure, or unforeseen legal ruling could still shift outcomes, though none are currently documented or positioned to resolve inside the window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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