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Redistrict predictions & odds

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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

North Carolina

$125K Vol.

$109K today

$115K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

66%

$10.3K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

96%

Pass 3-6%

$546K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

63

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$216K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

22%

115-120m

$6.9K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

75%

1600+

$23.1K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 days

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$16.1K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-25 House Election Winner

CA-25 House Election Winner

89%

Democratic Party

$3.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-12 House Election Winner

CA-12 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$31.9K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

45%

Likud

$1.1K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-10 House Election Winner

CA-10 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$8.8K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

90%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

PA-10 House Election Winner

PA-10 House Election Winner

68%

Democratic Party

$437 Vol.

$84 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

PA-12 House Election Winner

PA-12 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

25%

$7.0K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

OH-10 House Election Winner

OH-10 House Election Winner

74%

Republican Party

$17.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CA-52 House Election Winner

CA-52 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$41.7K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OH-12 House Election Winner

OH-12 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$3.7K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 570 active markets for Redistrict that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to Pass 3-6%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Redistrict predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.