The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced a statistical tie, with roughly 95% of ballots counted showing Sánchez ahead by under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continued to narrow Fujimori’s early urban and coastal lead. Pending international ballots, expected to favor Fujimori, and the full official tally through July keep the final margin highly uncertain amid Peru’s history of razor-thin presidential contests that trigger recounts and disputes. Regional voting patterns, turnout differentials, and procedural delays in a polarized electorate sustain tight trader pricing across sub-1% brackets without clear separation until complete results emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Fujimori 0.8–0.9% 36%
Fujimori 1%+ 32%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0% 21%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7% 19%
NEW
NEW
Fujimori 1%+
32%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
18%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
19%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
14%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
11%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
18%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
13%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
11%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
14%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
10%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
10%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
10%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
7%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
7%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
4%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
3%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
3%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
4%
Sánchez 1%+
2%
Other
3%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9% 36%
Fujimori 1%+ 32%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0% 21%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7% 19%
NEW
NEW
Fujimori 1%+
$90 Vol.
32%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%
$80 Vol.
21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%
$90 Vol.
36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%
$90 Vol.
18%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%
$90 Vol.
19%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%
$90 Vol.
14%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%
$90 Vol.
11%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$90 Vol.
18%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$468 Vol.
13%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%
$474 Vol.
11%
Fujimori 0–0.1%
$605 Vol.
14%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$273 Vol.
10%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%
$370 Vol.
10%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%
$320 Vol.
10%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%
$370 Vol.
9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%
$380 Vol.
7%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%
$295 Vol.
7%
Sánchez 0.6–0.7%
$590 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$690 Vol.
3%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$590 Vol.
3%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%
$760 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 1%+
$1,250 Vol.
2%
Other
$733 Vol.
3%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced a statistical tie, with roughly 95% of ballots counted showing Sánchez ahead by under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continued to narrow Fujimori’s early urban and coastal lead. Pending international ballots, expected to favor Fujimori, and the full official tally through July keep the final margin highly uncertain amid Peru’s history of razor-thin presidential contests that trigger recounts and disputes. Regional voting patterns, turnout differentials, and procedural delays in a polarized electorate sustain tight trader pricing across sub-1% brackets without clear separation until complete results emerge.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volume
$6,916Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced a statistical tie, with roughly 95% of ballots counted showing Sánchez ahead by under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continued to narrow Fujimori’s early urban and coastal lead. Pending international ballots, expected to favor Fujimori, and the full official tally through July keep the final margin highly uncertain amid Peru’s history of razor-thin presidential contests that trigger recounts and disputes. Regional voting patterns, turnout differentials, and procedural delays in a polarized electorate sustain tight trader pricing across sub-1% brackets without clear separation until complete results emerge.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$6,916Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced a statistical tie, with roughly 95% of ballots counted showing Sánchez ahead by under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continued to narrow Fujimori’s early urban and coastal lead. Pending international ballots, expected to favor Fujimori, and the full official tally through July keep the final margin highly uncertain amid Peru’s history of razor-thin presidential contests that trigger recounts and disputes. Regional voting patterns, turnout differentials, and procedural delays in a polarized electorate sustain tight trader pricing across sub-1% brackets without clear separation until complete results emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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