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Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

icon for Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George 55%

Kenyan McDuffie 39%

Gary Goodweather 3.3%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Polymarket

$115,459 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 55%

Kenyan McDuffie 39%

Gary Goodweather 3.3%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Polymarket

$115,459 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$6,904 Vol.

55%

Kenyan McDuffie

$28,759 Vol.

39%

Gary Goodweather

$17,429 Vol.

3%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$2,398 Vol.

1%

Brooke Pinto

$15,460 Vol.

<1%

Muriel Bowser

$804 Vol.

<1%

Robert White Jr.

$3,539 Vol.

<1%

Karl Racine

$1,117 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Parker

$791 Vol.

<1%

Brian Schwalb

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

Christina Henderson

$34,253 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mendelson

$2,797 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Front-runners Janeese Lewis George (54.5%) and Kenyan McDuffie (38.5%) dominated a Ward 7-focused Democratic primary debate on April 30, clashing over policing, housing supply, and public safety amid recent crime spikes, reinforcing trader consensus on their two-way contest. Lewis George's edge stems from progressive endorsements like Our Revolution and former AG Karl Racine, plus her bold proposals for social housing, universal childcare, and labor protections that energize grassroots voters. McDuffie appeals with pragmatic experience, fiscal restraint, and stronger public safety emphasis to broaden support. Incumbent Muriel Bowser's decision not to run opened the field, but others trail far behind; high turnout in Anacostia-adjacent wards could sway the June 16 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$115,459
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Front-runners Janeese Lewis George (54.5%) and Kenyan McDuffie (38.5%) dominated a Ward 7-focused Democratic primary debate on April 30, clashing over policing, housing supply, and public safety amid recent crime spikes, reinforcing trader consensus on their two-way contest. Lewis George's edge stems from progressive endorsements like Our Revolution and former AG Karl Racine, plus her bold proposals for social housing, universal childcare, and labor protections that energize grassroots voters. McDuffie appeals with pragmatic experience, fiscal restraint, and stronger public safety emphasis to broaden support. Incumbent Muriel Bowser's decision not to run opened the field, but others trail far behind; high turnout in Anacostia-adjacent wards could sway the June 16 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$115,459
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 55%, followed by "Kenyan McDuffie" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" has generated $115.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kenyan McDuffie" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.