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Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politics·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 68%

Robert Kenyon 29%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$32,812 Vol.

Andy Burnham 68%

Robert Kenyon 29%

James Thomas Bryer 1.1%

Maria Deery <1%

Polymarket

$32,812 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$18,603 Vol.

68%

Robert Kenyon

$10,424 Vol.

29%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Vol.

1%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Vol.

1%

John Skipworth

$1,034 Vol.

<1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,289 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 67 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee recently cleared him to enter the candidate selection process after outgoing MP Josh Simons resigned to facilitate his return to Parliament. The Greater Manchester mayor has begun local campaigning, with applications closing and formal endorsement expected shortly, positioning him as the frontrunner in a constituency that has returned Labour MPs for generations. Robert Kenyon’s 28.5 percent reflects Reform UK’s strong local momentum, including over 50 percent of the vote in recent council wards and a 32 percent share in the prior general election, driven by voter priorities on immigration and Brexit-related issues in a seat that backed Leave by 66 percent in 2016. Minor candidates trail due to limited visibility ahead of the expected June 18 poll date.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$32,812
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 67 percent because Labour’s National Executive Committee recently cleared him to enter the candidate selection process after outgoing MP Josh Simons resigned to facilitate his return to Parliament. The Greater Manchester mayor has begun local campaigning, with applications closing and formal endorsement expected shortly, positioning him as the frontrunner in a constituency that has returned Labour MPs for generations. Robert Kenyon’s 28.5 percent reflects Reform UK’s strong local momentum, including over 50 percent of the vote in recent council wards and a 32 percent share in the prior general election, driven by voter priorities on immigration and Brexit-related issues in a seat that backed Leave by 66 percent in 2016. Minor candidates trail due to limited visibility ahead of the expected June 18 poll date.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$32,812
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 68%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.