Skip to main content

UK predictions & odds

·
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$80.6K today

$64.8K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

14

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4%

$2.8K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

4%

$97.5K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 15 days

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

38%

$5.2K Vol.

$258 Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

50%

0.0–0.1%

$48 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

4%

$3.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

42%

0-1%

$2.1K Vol.

$696 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

61%

Andy Burnham

$10M Vol.

$1M Liq.

104

Ends in 7 months

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

<1%

June 30

$993K Vol.

$131K today

$239K Liq.

33

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

47%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$245K Liq.

112

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

16%

$525K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

19

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

28%

$2M Vol.

$67.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

17%

December 31

$472K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

36

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

December 31

$9.4K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

1%

June 30

$166K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

3%

$698K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

2%

$163K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

13%

$2M Vol.

$60.7K Liq.

89

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UK.

Polymarket currently hosts 161 active markets for UK that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Andy Burnham. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UK predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.