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SpaceX predictions & odds

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SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

42%

$2.0T-$2.5T

$106K Vol.

$140K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

53%

December 31, 2027?

$12.1K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

88%

August 31

$13.9K Vol.

$57.8K Liq.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

1%

June 30

$593K Vol.

$66.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

98%

$6.9K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

70%

14+

$15.4K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

50%

<5

$469K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

45%

Up

$15.6K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?

47%

Up

$2.9K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?

91%

December 31

$78.1K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

72%

Up

$10.7K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

34%

$112K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

SpaceX

$24.9K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

6%

June 30

$19.2K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

8%

$10.9K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

89%

SpaceX

$9.4K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

5

Ends in over 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

58%

140-159

$304K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

63%

$121 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

3%

Jonathan Hofeller

$326K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

7

Largest private company end of June?

Largest private company end of June?

99%

SpaceX

$73.0K Vol.

$101K Liq.

6

Ends in 17 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 140 active markets for SpaceX that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SpaceX predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.