**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and ensemble global models point to a high near 21–22°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan combined with rain and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating.** Official JMA guidance issued June 14 projects rain turning cloudy later with a maximum of 21°C, consistent with broader model consensus showing suppressed insolation and modest southerly flow. This setup deviates from typical mid-June climatology (daily highs averaging ~25–26°C) due to the transient synoptic pattern favoring cooler, moister conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (47.5%) and 22°C (37%) because short-range model agreement remains tight this close to the event, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of cloud cover could still nudge the outcome toward 23°C. New model runs and updated JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
21°C 48%
22°C 37%
23°C 12%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
$58,016 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,016 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
48%
22°C
37%
23°C
12%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
21°C 48%
22°C 37%
23°C 12%
24°C <1%
NUEVO
$58,016 Vol.
NUEVO
$58,016 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,949 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,761 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20,639 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,246 Vol.
48%
22°C
$2,904 Vol.
37%
23°C
$2,945 Vol.
12%
24°C
$4,598 Vol.
1%
25°C
$3,351 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,465 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$5,402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and ensemble global models point to a high near 21–22°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan combined with rain and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating.**
Official JMA guidance issued June 14 projects rain turning cloudy later with a maximum of 21°C, consistent with broader model consensus showing suppressed insolation and modest southerly flow. This setup deviates from typical mid-June climatology (daily highs averaging ~25–26°C) due to the transient synoptic pattern favoring cooler, moister conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (47.5%) and 22°C (37%) because short-range model agreement remains tight this close to the event, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of cloud cover could still nudge the outcome toward 23°C. New model runs and updated JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$58,016Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and ensemble global models point to a high near 21–22°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan combined with rain and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating.**
Official JMA guidance issued June 14 projects rain turning cloudy later with a maximum of 21°C, consistent with broader model consensus showing suppressed insolation and modest southerly flow. This setup deviates from typical mid-June climatology (daily highs averaging ~25–26°C) due to the transient synoptic pattern favoring cooler, moister conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (47.5%) and 22°C (37%) because short-range model agreement remains tight this close to the event, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of cloud cover could still nudge the outcome toward 23°C. New model runs and updated JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$58,016Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and ensemble global models point to a high near 21–22°C in Tokyo on June 15, driven by a modest subtropical ridge over eastern Japan combined with rain and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating.** Official JMA guidance issued June 14 projects rain turning cloudy later with a maximum of 21°C, consistent with broader model consensus showing suppressed insolation and modest southerly flow. This setup deviates from typical mid-June climatology (daily highs averaging ~25–26°C) due to the transient synoptic pattern favoring cooler, moister conditions. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (47.5%) and 22°C (37%) because short-range model agreement remains tight this close to the event, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of cloud cover could still nudge the outcome toward 23°C. New model runs and updated JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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