Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a Seoul daytime maximum of 28–30 °C on June 15, aligning with mid-June climatology where average highs rise from 27 °C early in the month toward 29–30 °C. Subtropical high-pressure ridging and light southwesterly flow support gradual warming, while scattered cloud cover and low shower chances in latest model runs limit further intensification. Market-implied odds concentrate 87 % probability on 28–30 °C because ensemble consensus has stabilized in that narrow band, with traders discounting higher outcomes absent stronger insolation or clearer skies. The next KMA update and overnight global model runs will provide the key test of this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
28°C 39%
29°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$73,279 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,279 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
39%
29°C
29%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 39%
29°C 29%
30°C 21%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$73,279 Vol.
NUEVO
$73,279 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$2,070 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,868 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,912 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,951 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$11,660 Vol.
1%
27°C
$7,431 Vol.
8%
28°C
$5,680 Vol.
39%
29°C
$7,255 Vol.
29%
30°C
$8,330 Vol.
21%
31°C
$6,162 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$11,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a Seoul daytime maximum of 28–30 °C on June 15, aligning with mid-June climatology where average highs rise from 27 °C early in the month toward 29–30 °C. Subtropical high-pressure ridging and light southwesterly flow support gradual warming, while scattered cloud cover and low shower chances in latest model runs limit further intensification. Market-implied odds concentrate 87 % probability on 28–30 °C because ensemble consensus has stabilized in that narrow band, with traders discounting higher outcomes absent stronger insolation or clearer skies. The next KMA update and overnight global model runs will provide the key test of this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$73,279Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a Seoul daytime maximum of 28–30 °C on June 15, aligning with mid-June climatology where average highs rise from 27 °C early in the month toward 29–30 °C. Subtropical high-pressure ridging and light southwesterly flow support gradual warming, while scattered cloud cover and low shower chances in latest model runs limit further intensification. Market-implied odds concentrate 87 % probability on 28–30 °C because ensemble consensus has stabilized in that narrow band, with traders discounting higher outcomes absent stronger insolation or clearer skies. The next KMA update and overnight global model runs will provide the key test of this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$73,279Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a Seoul daytime maximum of 28–30 °C on June 15, aligning with mid-June climatology where average highs rise from 27 °C early in the month toward 29–30 °C. Subtropical high-pressure ridging and light southwesterly flow support gradual warming, while scattered cloud cover and low shower chances in latest model runs limit further intensification. Market-implied odds concentrate 87 % probability on 28–30 °C because ensemble consensus has stabilized in that narrow band, with traders discounting higher outcomes absent stronger insolation or clearer skies. The next KMA update and overnight global model runs will provide the key test of this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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