Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in central Paris for June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact bin. Stable high pressure, light winds, and clear skies have supported gradual warming from overnight lows near 16°C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Historical June averages hover around 22–23°C, so this outcome sits modestly above climatology but aligns with current observational trends and satellite-derived surface temperatures. The 100% consensus reflects traders' confidence in verified station data, though a late-afternoon measurement revision, urban heat-island variability, or instrument calibration shift could still alter the recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,218 Vol.
$113,218 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,218 Vol.
$113,218 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,570 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,487 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$36,613 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$16,416 Vol.
100%
26°C
$13,767 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,846 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$9,712 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,303 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,957 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in central Paris for June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact bin. Stable high pressure, light winds, and clear skies have supported gradual warming from overnight lows near 16°C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Historical June averages hover around 22–23°C, so this outcome sits modestly above climatology but aligns with current observational trends and satellite-derived surface temperatures. The 100% consensus reflects traders' confidence in verified station data, though a late-afternoon measurement revision, urban heat-island variability, or instrument calibration shift could still alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$113,218Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in central Paris for June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact bin. Stable high pressure, light winds, and clear skies have supported gradual warming from overnight lows near 16°C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Historical June averages hover around 22–23°C, so this outcome sits modestly above climatology but aligns with current observational trends and satellite-derived surface temperatures. The 100% consensus reflects traders' confidence in verified station data, though a late-afternoon measurement revision, urban heat-island variability, or instrument calibration shift could still alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$113,218Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble model runs have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C in central Paris for June 14, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that exact bin. Stable high pressure, light winds, and clear skies have supported gradual warming from overnight lows near 16°C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Historical June averages hover around 22–23°C, so this outcome sits modestly above climatology but aligns with current observational trends and satellite-derived surface temperatures. The 100% consensus reflects traders' confidence in verified station data, though a late-afternoon measurement revision, urban heat-island variability, or instrument calibration shift could still alter the recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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