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Sam Altman predictions & odds

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

6%

$1M Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

69

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

4%

$28.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

6%

$5.0K Vol.

$305 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$45.8K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

22

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

39%

Sam Altman

$1.5K Vol.

$197K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

13%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$697K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

3%

$146K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

3%

$36.9K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

4%

$419K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel

HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel

56%

Arthur Fery

$1.7K Vol.

$66.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

72%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$2.0K Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

1%

$255K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

64

Ends in 15 days

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

21%

June 30

$29.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

6%

$3.3K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

31%

↓ 60

$1M Vol.

$66.2K today

$392K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

30%

December 31

$61.6K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$457 Vol.

$102 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta

Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Santamarta

74%

Max Alcala Gurri

$307 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

30%

$266 Vol.

$111 Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Sam Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SBF released from custody in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Solana hit in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Solana hit in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to ↓ 60. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Sam Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.