Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Warsaw on June 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing highs near 16°C earlier in the period and explains the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 17°C. Key variables include limited solar radiation and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce warming potential. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection could theoretically push readings to 18°C or higher, though current observations and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de junio?
17°C 99.9%
18°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
$80,966 Vol.
$80,966 Vol.
14 jun 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
17°C 99.9%
18°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
$80,966 Vol.
$80,966 Vol.
14 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$369 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$997 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,559 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$14,150 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,887 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$18,015 Vol.
100%
18°C
$9,778 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$9,797 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$6,786 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Warsaw on June 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing highs near 16°C earlier in the period and explains the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 17°C. Key variables include limited solar radiation and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce warming potential. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection could theoretically push readings to 18°C or higher, though current observations and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$80,966Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Warsaw on June 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing highs near 16°C earlier in the period and explains the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 17°C. Key variables include limited solar radiation and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce warming potential. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection could theoretically push readings to 18°C or higher, though current observations and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$80,966Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Warsaw on June 14, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with observed trends showing highs near 16°C earlier in the period and explains the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for exactly 17°C. Key variables include limited solar radiation and stable atmospheric conditions that reduce warming potential. A rapid shift to clear skies or an unforecasted warm advection could theoretically push readings to 18°C or higher, though current observations and model agreement make such deviations highly improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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