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Business predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

56%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$115K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

31%

↓ 60

$1M Vol.

$66.3K today

$390K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

86%

↑ 65,000

$15M Vol.

$865K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$333 Liq.

10

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

95%

$170 billion

$7.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?

70%

Up

$448 Vol.

$836 Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

99%

$720

$1.3K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$695K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$454 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

65%

↓ 500

$120K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Chainlink hit in June?

What price will Chainlink hit in June?

53%

↓ 6

$3.7K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

96%

↑ 65,000

$43M Vol.

$105K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

87%

↑ 70

$944K Vol.

$196K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$13 Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

42%

↓ $280

$45.3K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$22.0K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

97%

$25B

$27.8K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $64.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to ↑ 65,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.