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Business predictions & odds

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Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

85%

NVIDIA

$8M Vol.

$426K today

$922K Liq.

79

Ends in 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

57%

0 (0 bps)

$22M Vol.

$400K today

$976K Liq.

60

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of April?

Largest Company end of April?

99%

NVIDIA

$15M Vol.

$197K today

$1M Liq.

1

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

67%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$161K today

$445K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

87%

NVIDIA

$424K Vol.

$84.9K today

$280K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

100%

2.0–2.5%

$494K Vol.

$66.7K today

$2M Liq.

2nd largest company end of April?

2nd largest company end of April?

99%

Alphabet

$2M Vol.

$145K Liq.

3rd largest company end of April?

3rd largest company end of April?

100%

Apple

$1M Vol.

$65.9K Liq.

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

76

Ends in 8 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

99%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$78.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

77%

Cursor

$18M Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

25%

$1M Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

64

Ends in 9 months

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

47%

June 30

$926K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

52

Ends in 2 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

36%

1.5T-2.0T

$2M Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

7

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

85%

Alphabet

$18.5K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

10%

December 31, 2026

$22M Vol.

$68.5K Liq.

236

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

89%

Elon Musk

$2M Vol.

$364K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

5%

↑ $2.75

$566K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

53%

Railbird

$97.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

24%

OpenAI

$2M Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

26

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Business.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Business that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $108.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recession by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Business predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.