High pressure dominating western Europe has established clear skies, light winds, and a stable nocturnal boundary layer over Paris, suppressing radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C on June 16. Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, consistent with the observed 16 °C low on June 14 and the ongoing warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris-Le Bourget station further moderate the reading relative to rural surroundings. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders price the 18–20 °C brackets highest because any modest increase in cloud cover or shift in steering flow could drop the minimum by 1–2 °C, while the current pattern makes colder outcomes unlikely. Updated model cycles tonight will refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de junio?
19°C 30%
18°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 11%
16°C o menos
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
19°C 30%
18°C 24%
20°C 20%
17°C 11%
16°C o menos
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
24%
19°C
30%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating western Europe has established clear skies, light winds, and a stable nocturnal boundary layer over Paris, suppressing radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C on June 16. Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show tight clustering around these values, consistent with the observed 16 °C low on June 14 and the ongoing warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris-Le Bourget station further moderate the reading relative to rural surroundings. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders price the 18–20 °C brackets highest because any modest increase in cloud cover or shift in steering flow could drop the minimum by 1–2 °C, while the current pattern makes colder outcomes unlikely. Updated model cycles tonight will refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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