Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models point to a 33–34°C high for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes as traders weigh typical early southwest monsoon conditions. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, consistent with June climatology where average highs fall near 32°C. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability, keeping 35°C or higher at lower implied odds while supporting the narrow clustering around 33–34°C. Updated regional outlooks and any shift in monsoon timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 41%
35°C 24%
33°C 22%
36°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
22%
34°C
41%
35°C
24%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
34°C 41%
35°C 24%
33°C 22%
36°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$238 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$260 Vol.
1%
30°C
$24 Vol.
1%
31°C
$124 Vol.
1%
32°C
$789 Vol.
3%
33°C
$75 Vol.
22%
34°C
$85 Vol.
41%
35°C
$46 Vol.
24%
36°C
$113 Vol.
7%
37°C
$57 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models point to a 33–34°C high for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes as traders weigh typical early southwest monsoon conditions. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, consistent with June climatology where average highs fall near 32°C. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability, keeping 35°C or higher at lower implied odds while supporting the narrow clustering around 33–34°C. Updated regional outlooks and any shift in monsoon timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$1,951Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models point to a 33–34°C high for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes as traders weigh typical early southwest monsoon conditions. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, consistent with June climatology where average highs fall near 32°C. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability, keeping 35°C or higher at lower implied odds while supporting the narrow clustering around 33–34°C. Updated regional outlooks and any shift in monsoon timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,951Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models point to a 33–34°C high for Manila on June 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes as traders weigh typical early southwest monsoon conditions. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity are expected to limit extreme heating, consistent with June climatology where average highs fall near 32°C. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability, keeping 35°C or higher at lower implied odds while supporting the narrow clustering around 33–34°C. Updated regional outlooks and any shift in monsoon timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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