Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C on June 15 under rainy conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with seasonal norms placing typical June overnight lows at 18.7°C. Ensemble model guidance and subtropical ridging support limited nocturnal cooling into the 17–18°C range for June 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Milder-than-average early-month conditions and the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling have kept probabilities for 16°C or below low, while the low likelihood of significant warming overnight reinforces trader consensus around the 17–18°C bracket ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de junio?
18°C 60%
17°C 32%
20°C 5.0%
19°C 5%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
30%
18°C
60%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
18°C 60%
17°C 32%
20°C 5.0%
19°C 5%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
30%
18°C
60%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C on June 15 under rainy conditions transitioning to partly cloudy skies, with seasonal norms placing typical June overnight lows at 18.7°C. Ensemble model guidance and subtropical ridging support limited nocturnal cooling into the 17–18°C range for June 16, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Milder-than-average early-month conditions and the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling have kept probabilities for 16°C or below low, while the low likelihood of significant warming overnight reinforces trader consensus around the 17–18°C bracket ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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