**Trader consensus on 29°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, stems directly from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 9-day forecast, which projects a maximum of 29°C under cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms.** This range of 26–29°C aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome, reinforced by seasonal context of above-normal temperatures for June amid a long-term warming trend and typical humid subtropical conditions. Multiple weather models and climatological averages (around 30–31°C) support this narrow band, with high humidity and potential heavy rain limiting further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve a late model run showing unexpected daytime heating or a measurement revision from the official observatory network, though current guidance and timing make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
29°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
$218,947 Vol.
$218,947 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
29°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
$218,947 Vol.
$218,947 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 29°C as the highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, stems directly from the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 9-day forecast, which projects a maximum of 29°C under cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms.** This range of 26–29°C aligns precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome, reinforced by seasonal context of above-normal temperatures for June amid a long-term warming trend and typical humid subtropical conditions. Multiple weather models and climatological averages (around 30–31°C) support this narrow band, with high humidity and potential heavy rain limiting further intensification. The only realistic challenges would involve a late model run showing unexpected daytime heating or a measurement revision from the official observatory network, though current guidance and timing make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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