Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's expected minimum temperature on June 16 near the seasonal average of 13–15°C, driving the close 14–15°C market clustering. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and limited Atlantic moisture are limiting strong radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects in central London add slight upward bias. Model runs show narrow spreads due to stable high pressure, but small shifts in timing of any weak fronts or dew point changes could tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated high-resolution guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 16 de junio?
15°C 43%
14°C 34%
16°C 17%
13°C 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
34%
15°C
43%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
<1%
15°C 43%
14°C 34%
16°C 17%
13°C 5.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
11°C o menos
$15 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$145 Vol.
5%
14°C
$29 Vol.
34%
15°C
$27 Vol.
43%
16°C
$110 Vol.
17%
17°C
$17 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$15 Vol.
1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C o más
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's expected minimum temperature on June 16 near the seasonal average of 13–15°C, driving the close 14–15°C market clustering. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and limited Atlantic moisture are limiting strong radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects in central London add slight upward bias. Model runs show narrow spreads due to stable high pressure, but small shifts in timing of any weak fronts or dew point changes could tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated high-resolution guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$595Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's expected minimum temperature on June 16 near the seasonal average of 13–15°C, driving the close 14–15°C market clustering. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and limited Atlantic moisture are limiting strong radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects in central London add slight upward bias. Model runs show narrow spreads due to stable high pressure, but small shifts in timing of any weak fronts or dew point changes could tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated high-resolution guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$595Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's expected minimum temperature on June 16 near the seasonal average of 13–15°C, driving the close 14–15°C market clustering. Light winds, variable cloud cover, and limited Atlantic moisture are limiting strong radiative cooling overnight, while urban heat island effects in central London add slight upward bias. Model runs show narrow spreads due to stable high pressure, but small shifts in timing of any weak fronts or dew point changes could tip the outcome between the two leading bins. Updated high-resolution guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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