Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models point to a peak of 35°C in Madrid today, driven by strong June solar insolation under high pressure, minimal cloud cover through midday, and the urban heat island effect amplifying surface temperatures at reference stations like Retiro. Ensemble guidance shows limited afternoon convection that is unlikely to develop early enough to cap the maximum, keeping readings clustered near this threshold rather than the long-term June average of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because real-time observations through the afternoon align with this consensus, though an unexpected surge in thundershowers or a sharper steering flow could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$95,823 Vol.
$95,823 Vol.
14 jun 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$95,823 Vol.
$95,823 Vol.
14 jun 2026
31°C or below
$3,991 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,836 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,762 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$24,166 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$17,095 Vol.
100%
36°C
$17,475 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$9,094 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,264 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models point to a peak of 35°C in Madrid today, driven by strong June solar insolation under high pressure, minimal cloud cover through midday, and the urban heat island effect amplifying surface temperatures at reference stations like Retiro. Ensemble guidance shows limited afternoon convection that is unlikely to develop early enough to cap the maximum, keeping readings clustered near this threshold rather than the long-term June average of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because real-time observations through the afternoon align with this consensus, though an unexpected surge in thundershowers or a sharper steering flow could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$95,823Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models point to a peak of 35°C in Madrid today, driven by strong June solar insolation under high pressure, minimal cloud cover through midday, and the urban heat island effect amplifying surface temperatures at reference stations like Retiro. Ensemble guidance shows limited afternoon convection that is unlikely to develop early enough to cap the maximum, keeping readings clustered near this threshold rather than the long-term June average of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because real-time observations through the afternoon align with this consensus, though an unexpected surge in thundershowers or a sharper steering flow could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$95,823Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models point to a peak of 35°C in Madrid today, driven by strong June solar insolation under high pressure, minimal cloud cover through midday, and the urban heat island effect amplifying surface temperatures at reference stations like Retiro. Ensemble guidance shows limited afternoon convection that is unlikely to develop early enough to cap the maximum, keeping readings clustered near this threshold rather than the long-term June average of 28–30°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 35°C because real-time observations through the afternoon align with this consensus, though an unexpected surge in thundershowers or a sharper steering flow could still trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes