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icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

icon for SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

Up

0% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

0% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share for a $1.77 trillion valuation ahead of its expected June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX has generated intense demand, with the offering reported two-times oversubscribed. This setup fuels first-day momentum from institutional allocations and retail FOMO, yet the elevated multiple near 93 times trailing sales raises post-debut profit-taking risks. Historical patterns of large IPOs showing initial pops followed by day-two reversals, combined with thin post-IPO float dynamics, underpin the market’s narrow 51% lean toward an opening decline on the second trading day. Roadshow feedback, broader equity sentiment, and any pre-market indications near pricing will serve as immediate swing factors ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volume
$5
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share for a $1.77 trillion valuation ahead of its expected June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX has generated intense demand, with the offering reported two-times oversubscribed. This setup fuels first-day momentum from institutional allocations and retail FOMO, yet the elevated multiple near 93 times trailing sales raises post-debut profit-taking risks. Historical patterns of large IPOs showing initial pops followed by day-two reversals, combined with thin post-IPO float dynamics, underpin the market’s narrow 51% lean toward an opening decline on the second trading day. Roadshow feedback, broader equity sentiment, and any pre-market indications near pricing will serve as immediate swing factors ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Volume
$17
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 51% for "Down." A price of 51% means the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day," decide whether you believe SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day's price at noon ET on the resolution date will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day's price at noon ET on June 9. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" is 51% for "Down," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 51% chance that SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day's price will finish down over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day" market resolves based on a comparison of SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day's price at noon ET on the resolution date versus noon ET on June 9, using Binance SPACEX-IPO-OPEN-UPDOWN-ON-SECOND-DAY-20260608180600456/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the the resolution date noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.