Recent forecasts from major models and agencies converge on a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation typical of mid-June. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, as central Spain experiences seasonal warming without active fronts or significant moisture. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal risk of deviation from Atlantic ridging or Saharan air intrusions at this short lead time. Updated runs closer to the date will refine boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures, while historical June maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 44%
34°C 30%
32°C 19%
35°C 9.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
44%
34°C
30%
35°C
10%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 30%
32°C 19%
35°C 9.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
$503 Vol.
1%
31°C
$825 Vol.
2%
32°C
$625 Vol.
19%
33°C
$701 Vol.
44%
34°C
$365 Vol.
30%
35°C
$616 Vol.
10%
36°C
$334 Vol.
1%
37°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies converge on a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation typical of mid-June. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, as central Spain experiences seasonal warming without active fronts or significant moisture. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal risk of deviation from Atlantic ridging or Saharan air intrusions at this short lead time. Updated runs closer to the date will refine boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures, while historical June maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,140Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies converge on a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation typical of mid-June. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, as central Spain experiences seasonal warming without active fronts or significant moisture. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal risk of deviation from Atlantic ridging or Saharan air intrusions at this short lead time. Updated runs closer to the date will refine boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures, while historical June maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,140Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models and agencies converge on a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation typical of mid-June. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C, as central Spain experiences seasonal warming without active fronts or significant moisture. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with minimal risk of deviation from Atlantic ridging or Saharan air intrusions at this short lead time. Updated runs closer to the date will refine boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures, while historical June maxima near 30–32°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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