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Tech·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

icon for SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
Tech·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

52% chance
Polymarket
NEW
52% chance
Polymarket
NEW
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's accelerated Nasdaq IPO filing, with a planned June 2026 debut under ticker SPCX at roughly $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the even odds for official Nasdaq-100 inclusion this year. Recent SEC prospectus details and eased index rules enabling addition as early as 15 days post-listing create momentum, yet uncertainty persists around exact eligibility criteria such as sustained trading volume, market-cap thresholds, and potential review delays amid the company's massive scale. Traders weigh the swift timeline against historical index-addition patterns for mega-cap listings, where regulatory or operational hurdles could shift outcomes before year-end.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$0
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX's accelerated Nasdaq IPO filing, with a planned June 2026 debut under ticker SPCX at roughly $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation, anchors the even odds for official Nasdaq-100 inclusion this year. Recent SEC prospectus details and eased index rules enabling addition as early as 15 days post-listing create momentum, yet uncertainty persists around exact eligibility criteria such as sustained trading volume, market-cap thresholds, and potential review delays amid the company's massive scale. Traders weigh the swift timeline against historical index-addition patterns for mega-cap listings, where regulatory or operational hurdles could shift outcomes before year-end.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$0
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 52% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 52¢, the market collectively assigns a 52% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" is 52% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 52% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.