**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C under cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and high humidity near 90%. June climatology supports this, with typical minimums averaging 26–27°C amid the onset of the wet season, where persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiative cooling below seasonal baselines. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant deviations, such as stronger monsoon surges or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings to 25°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 14 de junio?
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
$80,234 Vol.
$80,234 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
$80,234 Vol.
$80,234 Vol.
14 jun 2026
22°C o menos
$2,923 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,108 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,310 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,147 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,516 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,049 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$18,748 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,709 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$463 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$1,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C under cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and high humidity near 90%. June climatology supports this, with typical minimums averaging 26–27°C amid the onset of the wet season, where persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiative cooling below seasonal baselines. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant deviations, such as stronger monsoon surges or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings to 25°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$80,234Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C under cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and high humidity near 90%. June climatology supports this, with typical minimums averaging 26–27°C amid the onset of the wet season, where persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiative cooling below seasonal baselines. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant deviations, such as stronger monsoon surges or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings to 25°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$80,234Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on June 14, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C under cloudy skies, northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h, and high humidity near 90%. June climatology supports this, with typical minimums averaging 26–27°C amid the onset of the wet season, where persistent cloud cover and moisture limit radiative cooling below seasonal baselines. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant deviations, such as stronger monsoon surges or clear-sky conditions that could drop readings to 25°C. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations, though current atmospheric stability makes this improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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