Forecast models from European meteorological agencies show strong consensus for a 29°C daily maximum in Milan on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley with minimal cloud cover or advection of warmer air masses. Mid-June climatology places typical highs in the 26–29°C range, and recent model runs exhibit tight clustering without significant outliers. The market-implied 99.9% probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of this alignment between numerical weather prediction outputs and observational trends. Only an unexpected late-day convective development or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically shift the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
29°C 99.9%
31°C <1%
28°C o menos <1%
30°C <1%
$55,830 Vol.
$55,830 Vol.
14 jun 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
29°C 99.9%
31°C <1%
28°C o menos <1%
30°C <1%
$55,830 Vol.
$55,830 Vol.
14 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$5,694 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,129 Vol.
100%
30°C
$9,218 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,309 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,692 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,673 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,525 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$498 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies show strong consensus for a 29°C daily maximum in Milan on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley with minimal cloud cover or advection of warmer air masses. Mid-June climatology places typical highs in the 26–29°C range, and recent model runs exhibit tight clustering without significant outliers. The market-implied 99.9% probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of this alignment between numerical weather prediction outputs and observational trends. Only an unexpected late-day convective development or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically shift the recorded high outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$55,830Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies show strong consensus for a 29°C daily maximum in Milan on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley with minimal cloud cover or advection of warmer air masses. Mid-June climatology places typical highs in the 26–29°C range, and recent model runs exhibit tight clustering without significant outliers. The market-implied 99.9% probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of this alignment between numerical weather prediction outputs and observational trends. Only an unexpected late-day convective development or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically shift the recorded high outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55,830Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European meteorological agencies show strong consensus for a 29°C daily maximum in Milan on June 14, driven by stable high-pressure conditions over the Po Valley with minimal cloud cover or advection of warmer air masses. Mid-June climatology places typical highs in the 26–29°C range, and recent model runs exhibit tight clustering without significant outliers. The market-implied 99.9% probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of this alignment between numerical weather prediction outputs and observational trends. Only an unexpected late-day convective development or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically shift the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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