Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature near the seasonal average of 13°C for Wellington on June 16, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 12°C. Persistent northwesterlies transitioning to cooler southerlies, combined with increasing cloud cover and rain from an approaching front, are expected to cap daytime maxima, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Historical climatology shows June highs typically range 11–14°C, and current runs align with this baseline rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 47%
11°C 27%
13°C 25%
14°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
27%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 47%
11°C 27%
13°C 25%
14°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$165 Vol.
1%
10°C
$583 Vol.
2%
11°C
$861 Vol.
27%
12°C
$630 Vol.
47%
13°C
$1,287 Vol.
25%
14°C
$2,485 Vol.
3%
15°C
$2,143 Vol.
1%
16°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature near the seasonal average of 13°C for Wellington on June 16, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 12°C. Persistent northwesterlies transitioning to cooler southerlies, combined with increasing cloud cover and rain from an approaching front, are expected to cap daytime maxima, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Historical climatology shows June highs typically range 11–14°C, and current runs align with this baseline rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,996Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature near the seasonal average of 13°C for Wellington on June 16, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 12°C. Persistent northwesterlies transitioning to cooler southerlies, combined with increasing cloud cover and rain from an approaching front, are expected to cap daytime maxima, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Historical climatology shows June highs typically range 11–14°C, and current runs align with this baseline rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,996Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts and model consensus point to a highest temperature near the seasonal average of 13°C for Wellington on June 16, with traders assigning the strongest implied probability to 12°C. Persistent northwesterlies transitioning to cooler southerlies, combined with increasing cloud cover and rain from an approaching front, are expected to cap daytime maxima, consistent with NIWA’s near-average temperature outlook for the region. Historical climatology shows June highs typically range 11–14°C, and current runs align with this baseline rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as the 48-hour forecast window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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