Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on June 16 in the 28–30 °C range under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and residual moisture from earlier Atlantic flow create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, while the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement will determine resolution. Recent model runs have shown only modest shifts day-to-day, leaving limited scope for 31 °C or higher unless a stronger warm advection develops; traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance most heavily ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
29°C 40%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
27°C 7.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
33%
29°C
40%
30°C
15%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 33%
30°C 15%
27°C 7.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
$212 Vol.
1%
26°C
$660 Vol.
2%
27°C
$826 Vol.
7%
28°C
$762 Vol.
33%
29°C
$806 Vol.
40%
30°C
$643 Vol.
15%
31°C
$922 Vol.
3%
32°C
$286 Vol.
2%
33°C
$353 Vol.
1%
34°C
$276 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on June 16 in the 28–30 °C range under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and residual moisture from earlier Atlantic flow create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, while the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement will determine resolution. Recent model runs have shown only modest shifts day-to-day, leaving limited scope for 31 °C or higher unless a stronger warm advection develops; traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance most heavily ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$6,036Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on June 16 in the 28–30 °C range under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and residual moisture from earlier Atlantic flow create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, while the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement will determine resolution. Recent model runs have shown only modest shifts day-to-day, leaving limited scope for 31 °C or higher unless a stronger warm advection develops; traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance most heavily ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,036Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on June 16 in the 28–30 °C range under building high pressure and mostly clear skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29 °C. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and residual moisture from earlier Atlantic flow create the narrow spread separating these outcomes, while the official Paris-Montsouris station measurement will determine resolution. Recent model runs have shown only modest shifts day-to-day, leaving limited scope for 31 °C or higher unless a stronger warm advection develops; traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance most heavily ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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