Traders have converged on 21°C as the highest temperature in Munich on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from models and official sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Current observations show afternoon readings climbing toward but not yet exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 21–23°C. Model agreement on limited daytime heating—driven by stable high pressure and modest insolation—underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, with minimal upside risk from advection or cloud-clearing scenarios that could push readings higher. A late-day surge beyond 22°C or an unexpectedly strong ridge would be the primary factors capable of shifting resolution, though updated guidance through evening continues to support the 21°C ceiling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 14 de junio?
21°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
16°C o menos <1%
$85,123 Vol.
$85,123 Vol.
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
21°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
16°C o menos <1%
$85,123 Vol.
$85,123 Vol.
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 21°C as the highest temperature in Munich on June 14, 2026, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from models and official sources such as the German Weather Service (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Current observations show afternoon readings climbing toward but not yet exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 21–23°C. Model agreement on limited daytime heating—driven by stable high pressure and modest insolation—underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, with minimal upside risk from advection or cloud-clearing scenarios that could push readings higher. A late-day surge beyond 22°C or an unexpectedly strong ridge would be the primary factors capable of shifting resolution, though updated guidance through evening continues to support the 21°C ceiling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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