Trader consensus clusters around 28°C, 30°C, and 31°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight spread in latest INMET, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Recent INMET updates for nearby stations like Alumínio and Campinas project peaks of 30-32°C with low humidity and light winds, while global models introduce slight cooling via potential afternoon cumulus clouds or southerly flow, differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C. This uncertainty, typical for short-range urban forecasts influenced by the heat island effect, awaits refinement from overnight model runs and May 5 INMET bulletins before official Mirante station measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
27°C 12%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
41%
30°C
12%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 33%
27°C 12%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
24°C or below
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$714 Vol.
1%
26°C
$952 Vol.
2%
27°C
$342 Vol.
12%
28°C
$467 Vol.
33%
29°C
$431 Vol.
41%
30°C
$197 Vol.
12%
31°C
$101 Vol.
4%
32°C
$169 Vol.
2%
33°C
$415 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$3,074 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 28°C, 30°C, and 31°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight spread in latest INMET, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Recent INMET updates for nearby stations like Alumínio and Campinas project peaks of 30-32°C with low humidity and light winds, while global models introduce slight cooling via potential afternoon cumulus clouds or southerly flow, differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C. This uncertainty, typical for short-range urban forecasts influenced by the heat island effect, awaits refinement from overnight model runs and May 5 INMET bulletins before official Mirante station measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volumen
$8,117Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around 28°C, 30°C, and 31°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight spread in latest INMET, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Recent INMET updates for nearby stations like Alumínio and Campinas project peaks of 30-32°C with low humidity and light winds, while global models introduce slight cooling via potential afternoon cumulus clouds or southerly flow, differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C. This uncertainty, typical for short-range urban forecasts influenced by the heat island effect, awaits refinement from overnight model runs and May 5 INMET bulletins before official Mirante station measurement resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,117Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 28°C, 30°C, and 31°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 6, mirroring tight spread in latest INMET, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble forecasts amid a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Recent INMET updates for nearby stations like Alumínio and Campinas project peaks of 30-32°C with low humidity and light winds, while global models introduce slight cooling via potential afternoon cumulus clouds or southerly flow, differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C. This uncertainty, typical for short-range urban forecasts influenced by the heat island effect, awaits refinement from overnight model runs and May 5 INMET bulletins before official Mirante station measurement resolves the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes