MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on May 5 projects a daytime high of 15°C under northerly winds (24 km/h gusting to 37 km/h) and partial clearing after a cloudy morning, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C as the peak temperature at the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed maximum of 15.9°C under similar northerly flow and fine spells provides strong evidentiary support, with current conditions at 12.4°C (partly cloudy, 76% humidity) tracking toward marginal intensification before evening cooldown. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating to cap at 15°C or an unanticipated southerly shift, though model consensus favors the 16°C threshold; final observations will resolve by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 5?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$66,401 Vol.
$66,401 Vol.
5 may 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$66,401 Vol.
$66,401 Vol.
5 may 2026
16°C
$12,305 Vol.
100%
17°C
$6,187 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,341 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,643 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on May 5 projects a daytime high of 15°C under northerly winds (24 km/h gusting to 37 km/h) and partial clearing after a cloudy morning, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C as the peak temperature at the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed maximum of 15.9°C under similar northerly flow and fine spells provides strong evidentiary support, with current conditions at 12.4°C (partly cloudy, 76% humidity) tracking toward marginal intensification before evening cooldown. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating to cap at 15°C or an unanticipated southerly shift, though model consensus favors the 16°C threshold; final observations will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$66,401Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on May 5 projects a daytime high of 15°C under northerly winds (24 km/h gusting to 37 km/h) and partial clearing after a cloudy morning, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C as the peak temperature at the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed maximum of 15.9°C under similar northerly flow and fine spells provides strong evidentiary support, with current conditions at 12.4°C (partly cloudy, 76% humidity) tracking toward marginal intensification before evening cooldown. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating to cap at 15°C or an unanticipated southerly shift, though model consensus favors the 16°C threshold; final observations will resolve by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$66,401Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on May 5 projects a daytime high of 15°C under northerly winds (24 km/h gusting to 37 km/h) and partial clearing after a cloudy morning, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C as the peak temperature at the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station. Yesterday's observed maximum of 15.9°C under similar northerly flow and fine spells provides strong evidentiary support, with current conditions at 12.4°C (partly cloudy, 76% humidity) tracking toward marginal intensification before evening cooldown. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover suppressing solar heating to cap at 15°C or an unanticipated southerly shift, though model consensus favors the 16°C threshold; final observations will resolve by midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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