Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 30°C maximum under fine, sunny conditions, corroborated by UK Met Office hourly guidance peaking at 31°C between 4-6 p.m. local time. Yesterday's observed high of 28°C reflects a clear warming trend from southerly airflow and persistent clear skies enhancing solar insolation and adiabatic heating within the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography. Morning observations around 21°C align with this trajectory, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon haze or light northeasterly gusts could cap peaks at 30°C or nudge toward 32°C (18.5% odds). Real-time station data will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
31°C 88%
32°C 9%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$65,643 Vol.
$65,643 Vol.
5 may 2026
30°C
<1%
31°C
88%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 88%
32°C 9%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
$65,643 Vol.
$65,643 Vol.
5 may 2026
30°C
$9,841 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,476 Vol.
88%
32°C
$4,225 Vol.
9%
33°C
$7,566 Vol.
1%
34°C
$4,332 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 30°C maximum under fine, sunny conditions, corroborated by UK Met Office hourly guidance peaking at 31°C between 4-6 p.m. local time. Yesterday's observed high of 28°C reflects a clear warming trend from southerly airflow and persistent clear skies enhancing solar insolation and adiabatic heating within the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography. Morning observations around 21°C align with this trajectory, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon haze or light northeasterly gusts could cap peaks at 30°C or nudge toward 32°C (18.5% odds). Real-time station data will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$65,643Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 30°C maximum under fine, sunny conditions, corroborated by UK Met Office hourly guidance peaking at 31°C between 4-6 p.m. local time. Yesterday's observed high of 28°C reflects a clear warming trend from southerly airflow and persistent clear skies enhancing solar insolation and adiabatic heating within the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography. Morning observations around 21°C align with this trajectory, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon haze or light northeasterly gusts could cap peaks at 30°C or nudge toward 32°C (18.5% odds). Real-time station data will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,643Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 77.5% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 30°C maximum under fine, sunny conditions, corroborated by UK Met Office hourly guidance peaking at 31°C between 4-6 p.m. local time. Yesterday's observed high of 28°C reflects a clear warming trend from southerly airflow and persistent clear skies enhancing solar insolation and adiabatic heating within the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin topography. Morning observations around 21°C align with this trajectory, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon haze or light northeasterly gusts could cap peaks at 30°C or nudge toward 32°C (18.5% odds). Real-time station data will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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