Current ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 7 near 30°C, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 30°C holds a slim 51% implied probability amid clustered odds around 27–33°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past 48 hours, with local observations and China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs climbing to 30–31°C on May 4–5 after mid-20s earlier, driven by high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include persistent overcast skies and 30–60% shower risks, which could cap maxima at 27–28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals pushing toward 32°C in Chengdu's heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. New model runs daily may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
30°C 25%
29°C 23%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
14%
29°C
23%
30°C
21%
31°C
12%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 25%
29°C 23%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
24°C or below
$244 Vol.
1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$101 Vol.
10%
28°C
$110 Vol.
14%
29°C
$116 Vol.
23%
30°C
$12 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$8 Vol.
10%
33°C
$530 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$380 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 7 near 30°C, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 30°C holds a slim 51% implied probability amid clustered odds around 27–33°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past 48 hours, with local observations and China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs climbing to 30–31°C on May 4–5 after mid-20s earlier, driven by high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include persistent overcast skies and 30–60% shower risks, which could cap maxima at 27–28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals pushing toward 32°C in Chengdu's heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. New model runs daily may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Volumen
$1,535Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 7 near 30°C, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 30°C holds a slim 51% implied probability amid clustered odds around 27–33°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past 48 hours, with local observations and China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs climbing to 30–31°C on May 4–5 after mid-20s earlier, driven by high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include persistent overcast skies and 30–60% shower risks, which could cap maxima at 27–28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals pushing toward 32°C in Chengdu's heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. New model runs daily may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,535Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF project Chengdu's highest temperature on May 7 near 30°C, aligning with the tight trader consensus where 30°C holds a slim 51% implied probability amid clustered odds around 27–33°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past 48 hours, with local observations and China Meteorological Administration guidance showing highs climbing to 30–31°C on May 4–5 after mid-20s earlier, driven by high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover. Differentiating factors include persistent overcast skies and 30–60% shower risks, which could cap maxima at 27–28°C via reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals pushing toward 32°C in Chengdu's heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. New model runs daily may shift sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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