Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 5, projects a maximum temperature of around 23°C today, driving trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability on that outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon bringing slightly cooler air, extensive cloud cover, and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. Current observations confirm subdued readings—21–22°C at midday with 83–90% relative humidity and light rain—suppressing diurnal heating well below May's climatological average high of 28–29°C. Model consensus reflects low solar insolation and moderate easterly winds force 4–5 offshore. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies and prolonged sunshine this afternoon to push toward 24°C, though next HKO update at 16:30 HKT may refine this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 5?
23°C 94%
24°C 7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$408,022 Vol.
$408,022 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
94%
24°C
7%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 94%
24°C 7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$408,022 Vol.
$408,022 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C or below
$652 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,097 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$14,440 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$115,723 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$135,624 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$33,968 Vol.
94%
24°C
$17,553 Vol.
7%
25°C
$19,422 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$23,405 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$21,899 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$22,770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 5, projects a maximum temperature of around 23°C today, driving trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability on that outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon bringing slightly cooler air, extensive cloud cover, and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. Current observations confirm subdued readings—21–22°C at midday with 83–90% relative humidity and light rain—suppressing diurnal heating well below May's climatological average high of 28–29°C. Model consensus reflects low solar insolation and moderate easterly winds force 4–5 offshore. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies and prolonged sunshine this afternoon to push toward 24°C, though next HKO update at 16:30 HKT may refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$408,022Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 5, projects a maximum temperature of around 23°C today, driving trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability on that outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon bringing slightly cooler air, extensive cloud cover, and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. Current observations confirm subdued readings—21–22°C at midday with 83–90% relative humidity and light rain—suppressing diurnal heating well below May's climatological average high of 28–29°C. Model consensus reflects low solar insolation and moderate easterly winds force 4–5 offshore. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies and prolonged sunshine this afternoon to push toward 24°C, though next HKO update at 16:30 HKT may refine this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$408,022Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early May 5, projects a maximum temperature of around 23°C today, driving trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability on that outcome amid a persistent northeast monsoon bringing slightly cooler air, extensive cloud cover, and occasional showers with isolated thunderstorms. Current observations confirm subdued readings—21–22°C at midday with 83–90% relative humidity and light rain—suppressing diurnal heating well below May's climatological average high of 28–29°C. Model consensus reflects low solar insolation and moderate easterly winds force 4–5 offshore. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies and prolonged sunshine this afternoon to push toward 24°C, though next HKO update at 16:30 HKT may refine this outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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