Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan’s highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on May 5, driven by real-time observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Gimhae International Airport station, which recorded peak readings of 21°C under clear skies and light southwest winds. Short-range KMA forecasts updated at 14:40 confirmed this mild maximum, aligning with early May climatology averaging 20–22°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and 0% precipitation risk. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a late-afternoon solar heating spike could theoretically push temperatures higher, though model consensus and current trajectories make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening cooldown. Final KMA hourly data will solidify resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$63,991 Vol.
$63,991 Vol.
5 may 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$63,991 Vol.
$63,991 Vol.
5 may 2026
21°C
$7,930 Vol.
100%
22°C
$7,878 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,651 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$13,577 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan’s highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on May 5, driven by real-time observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Gimhae International Airport station, which recorded peak readings of 21°C under clear skies and light southwest winds. Short-range KMA forecasts updated at 14:40 confirmed this mild maximum, aligning with early May climatology averaging 20–22°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and 0% precipitation risk. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a late-afternoon solar heating spike could theoretically push temperatures higher, though model consensus and current trajectories make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening cooldown. Final KMA hourly data will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$63,991Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan’s highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on May 5, driven by real-time observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Gimhae International Airport station, which recorded peak readings of 21°C under clear skies and light southwest winds. Short-range KMA forecasts updated at 14:40 confirmed this mild maximum, aligning with early May climatology averaging 20–22°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and 0% precipitation risk. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a late-afternoon solar heating spike could theoretically push temperatures higher, though model consensus and current trajectories make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening cooldown. Final KMA hourly data will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,991Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan’s highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on May 5, driven by real-time observational data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at Gimhae International Airport station, which recorded peak readings of 21°C under clear skies and light southwest winds. Short-range KMA forecasts updated at 14:40 confirmed this mild maximum, aligning with early May climatology averaging 20–22°C highs amid stable high-pressure conditions and 0% precipitation risk. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a late-afternoon solar heating spike could theoretically push temperatures higher, though model consensus and current trajectories make this unlikely as the day progresses toward evening cooldown. Final KMA hourly data will solidify resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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